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Progressive's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Premiums Rise Y/Y


The Progressive Corporation’s PGR second-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $4.85 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.2%. The bottom line, however, decreased 6.1% year over year.

Behind the Headlines

Net premiums written were $21.1 billion in the quarter, up 5% from $20.1 billion a year ago. 

Net premiums earned grew 6% to $21.6 billion. The reported figure met the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Net realized gains on securities were $604 million, up 56% year over year.

Combined ratio — the percentage of premiums paid out as claims and expenses — deteriorated 110 basis points (bps) from the prior-year quarter’s level to 87.1.

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Progressive Corporation Quote

June Numbers in Details

Operating revenues grew 2.5% year over year to $7.6 billion, driven by 2.1% higher net premiums earned, a 11.5% increase in net investment income, a 2% rise in fees and other revenues, and 6.7% higher service revenues. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.2%.

Total expenses rose 6.1% to $6.6 billion, attributable to 5.3% higher losses and loss adjustment expenses, a 0.6% increase in policy acquisition costs, a 12.5% rise in other underwriting expenses, and a 8.5% increase in service expenses.

June Policies in Force

Policies in force were solid in the Personal Lines segment, up 8% from the year-ago month’s figure to 38.9 million. Special Lines improved 7% to 7.3 million.

In the Personal Auto segment, Agency Auto increased 8% year over year to 11.2 million, while Direct Auto increased 10% to 16.7 million.

Progressive’s Commercial Auto segment policies rose 3% year over year to 1.2 million. The Property business had 3.6 million policies in force, up 1%.

Financial Update

Progressive’s book value per share was $59.05 as of June 30, 2026, up 6.2% from $55.62 as of June 30, 2025.

Return on equity in June 2026 was 32.5%, down from 43.6% reported in the year-ago period. The total debt-to-total capital ratio deteriorated 210 bps to 19.6.

Zacks Rank

PGR currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Upcoming Releases

The Travelers Companies Inc. TRV will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 17, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $5.16, suggesting a decrease of 20.7% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

TRV’s earnings beat estimates in the last four quarters.

Chubb Limited CB will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 21, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $6.60 per share, indicating an increase of 7.5% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

CB’s earnings beat estimates in the last four quarters.

W.R. Berkley Corporation WRB will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 20, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $1.09, suggesting an increase of 3.8% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

WRB’s earnings beat estimates in three of the last four reported quarters, while missing in one.

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The Progressive Corporation (PGR): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Chubb Limited (CB): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research


Source Zacks-com

At Zacks, we are dedicated to independent investment research, helping investors succeed through tools like our Zacks Rank stock-rating system, which has averaged +23.89% annual returns since 1988. Founded on the discovery that earnings estimate revisions drive stock prices, we offer purely mathematical, unbiased ratings, along with additional innovations like the Price Response Indicator, Earnings ESP, and specialized rankings for mutual funds and ETFs.
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